Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.392569 0.429561 0.469054 0.514450 0.565306 0.620653 0.685622
2026-01-11 0.333426 0.385303 0.444505 0.517474 0.605551 0.709133 0.841207
2026-01-18 0.298114 0.357267 0.427872 0.519181 0.635332 0.779772 0.975543
2026-01-25 0.273966 0.337977 0.417183 0.523704 0.665223 0.849681 1.113172
2026-02-01 0.248924 0.314291 0.397558 0.513176 0.672401 0.888293 1.210830
2026-02-08 0.233237 0.300781 0.389143 0.515523 0.695536 0.948940 1.344259
2026-02-15 0.217784 0.286040 0.377422 0.511566 0.708439 0.995064 1.460187
2026-02-22 0.206418 0.275792 0.370712 0.513524 0.729204 1.053608 1.600792
2026-03-01 0.193928 0.262979 0.359263 0.507296 0.736602 1.091706 1.712046
2026-03-08 0.182350 0.250624 0.347475 0.499358 0.740196 1.123428 1.815391
2026-03-15 0.169901 0.236213 0.331681 0.483978 0.730438 1.132075 1.878837
2026-03-22 0.165225 0.232865 0.331970 0.493341 0.760979 1.209965 2.075428
2026-03-29 0.159855 0.228266 0.330212 0.499544 0.787217 1.283845 2.276320
2026-04-05 0.154084 0.222725 0.326642 0.502509 0.808167 1.350510 2.472884
2026-04-12 0.148494 0.217109 0.322541 0.504154 0.826722 1.414343 2.672438
2026-04-19 0.143931 0.212814 0.320223 0.508518 0.850291 1.489668 2.906883
2026-04-26 0.136704 0.203912 0.309923 0.498360 0.846334 1.511306 3.027189
2026-05-03 0.132481 0.199603 0.306879 0.500625 0.865596 1.580541 3.265044
2026-05-10 0.127385 0.193615 0.300691 0.496807 0.872825 1.625895 3.453926
2026-05-17 0.123686 0.189726 0.297799 0.498696 0.891176 1.696066 3.713953
2026-05-24 0.118819 0.183670 0.290881 0.492686 0.893271 1.731601 3.892731
2026-05-31 0.113972 0.177434 0.283342 0.485025 0.891366 1.758092 4.052281
2026-06-07 0.108217 0.169429 0.272352 0.470179 0.873541 1.747247 4.110223